Bond Vol Is Stirring
Bond Vol Stirring
Yesterday's jump in Treasury yields wasn't just notable for its size. Bond volatility also caught a bid, and several cross-asset relationships are beginning to diverge. It's far too early to call it a trend, but the rates market deserves a closer look.
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Is France the Best Team at This World Cup or Is It Yet to Be Properly Tested?
Is France the Best Team at This World Cup or Is It Yet to Be Properly Tested?
France has blown opponents away at this tournament, becoming the first team to score three or more goals in five straight World Cup matches.Conor Orr|
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. — Truly the stuff of fever dreams over here in section 225 along the stadium’s north side. Pass the man in the tight striped shirt wearing a red beret and holding a fake plastic baguette and you turn the corner to find a pair of men dressed as mimes. They are waving a French flag to fan a young supporter of Les Bleus who has overheated and is slumped down in a chair as security forms a wall around him to cool down.
Around the corner comes Max, an athletically built male of about 5’10” who is dripping sweat beneath what looks like a heavy, non-breathable blonde wig decorated in a kind of braided pigtail. He’s wearing a traditional Swedish dress for Midsommar atop shin guards, soccer socks and tennis shoes. Follow him through the concourse and onto the patio, and you’ve arrived at Camp Sweden.
The fan section of Swedish football—which also cleverly featured fans wearing yellow shirts with the word IKEA written on them—was paltry in size to the overwhelming number of French supporters here among the 83,000 attendants in New Jersey, but for the first 40 minutes, the chants of ‘Allez, Allez, Allez’ (‘Onward Sweden’) did not relent.
Max said Swedish fans took pride in their FIFA ranking for kindness, but when informed that France were heavy favorites, his eyes narrowed and he assumed a joking fighter’s posture. When asked if he believed, as Sweden seemed to escape one piercing attempt on goal after another (including a 19th-minute goal by Kylian Mbappe that was called back upon review) by the blistering French attack over the course of the first 40 minutes, he smiled.
“Of course I do,” he says. “I f—- flew here.”
France and Kylian Mbappé Take Charge
Of course, in rapid succession just before halftime, just after halftime and a third time at the 73rd minute, France eventually honed its eye for the goal and obliterated any chance of a stunning upset. Gone were the scattershot follows, the moments where Les Bleus’ incredible strikers were slapping their heads in frustration.
Kylian Mbappé sliced between two defenders and pounded the ball in the far side of the net. Bradley Barcola slipped between a pair of Swedish defenders, took a quick touch and scored again. Then Mbappé, one last time, punched the ball to the far corner of the net, just off the outstretched hand of Sweden's keeper, Jacob Widell Zetterström. After the last one Mbappé found an open swath of space and skied into the air, a bit like a toddler pretending he was a rocket ship blasting off to the moon.
Outside of the confidence that momentarily reverberated from Camp Sweden, though, the eventual 3-0 result was heavily expected. France became the first team in World Cup history to score three or more goals in five straight matches, though those matches were against some of the Cup’s lowliest opponents: A lukewarm Senegal, Iraq and a second-string Norway, none of which are in the FIFA top 15 World Rankings (Iraq hovers in the mid 60s). Sweden was in organizational tatters leading into the World Cup as well.
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Just How Good is This France Team?
It brings up the important question, as France advances to play Paraguay (another team outside of the Top 30 in FIFA World Rankings, though riding high after a stunning upset over Germany in the opening round) in the second stage of the knockout tournament: Are we responsible for believing what our eyes tell us to believe? Or, is it merely another victory over a small, bright-eyed, understaffed army like we saw in Camp Sweden?
“We knew we had to be perfect,” Graham Potter, Sweden’s manager said afterward, noting that, even if Sweden was perfect, it may not have been enough. “We needed a couple of miracles.”
When asked if he thought any team could beat France, he said: “Of course, it’s football, anything is possible, but I haven’t personally seen a better team.”
As Mbappé was subbed off in the 86th minute, France manager Didier Deschamps stretched out his arms and bowed several times, welcoming the 27-year-old star to the bench. Mbappé has now played in 18 World Cup games and has scored 18 goals. He is now the lone record holder, passing Ronaldo and Leonidas, for the most goals ever scored in the knockout stage of the World Cup (10).
What France Does to Opponents
French soccer, at this very moment, is the picture of versatility, with an amoebic attack that is grounded in a concept that is simple theoretically but almost impossible to achieve in real time: Make yourselves fluid enough to empower your goalscorers. France has dominated by mastering width, drawing double teams at both ends of the pitch and thinning out defenses that still cannot manage to bracket the team’s fleet of strikers. Even with quarterly hydration breaks, the tiring effect this has on defenders is debilitating.
They are also appropriately dominant. Before Mbappé’s first goal, he made a backward no-look pass to Ousmane Dembélé that looked more like a dance step (the pair have more mutual assists for one another than any tandem dating back more than 50 years). Every part of his facial expression suggested that he planned for the moment to go viral. France possessed the ball more than 60% of the game and had a shot advantage of 12-3.
Les Bleus appear comfortable enough, then, to sidestep the question of opponent quality. Deschamps admitted that “for us, it wasn’t that difficult” to reach the round of 16 but cautioned a reporter who mentioned the cementing confidence among French fans and journalists.
“Slow down, please,” he said. “There are issues, there’s always room for improvement.”
READ THE LATEST WORLD CUP NEWS, ANALYSIS AND INSIGHT FROM SI FC
Published 2 hours ago | Modified 17 minutes ago
CONOR ORRConor Orr is a Senior Writer for Sports Illustrated with more than 15 years of experience covering the NFL. His work has been cited in Best American Sportswriting and has won a PFWAA award. Prior to Sports Illustrated, he covered both the Giants and Jets for The Star-Ledger. Conor lives in New Jersey with his amazing wife and three children.
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USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bet for World Cup Round of 32
USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction, Odds, Best Prop Bet for World Cup Round of 32
Iain MacMillan|
The prime time Round of 32 matchup on Wednesday will feature the co-host, the United States, taking on Bosnia & Herzegovina with a spot in the Round of 16 on the line.
The United States won Group D, while Bosnia & Herzegovina managed to advance as a No. 3 seed in Group B. Is there any chance of an upset on Wednesday night? Let's find out what the oddsmakers think.
USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Odds and Total
To Advance
- USA -750 (88.24% implied probability)
- Bosnia & Herzegovina +500
3-Way Moneyline
- USA -290
- Bosnia & Herzegovina +800
- Draw +400
Total
- OVER 2.5 (-118)
- UNDER 2.5 (-104)
USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina How to Watch
- Date: Wednesday, July 1
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: San Francisco Stadium
- How to Watch (TV): Fox/Tele/Fox One
- USA record: 2-1-0
- Bosnia & Herzegovina record: 1-1-1
USA vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina History and Tournament Results
These two countries have faced each other three times before. All three matches were international friendlies, with the USA going 2-1-0 in them. The most recent match was a 1-0 victory for the United States in 2021.
United States
The United States began its tournament by beating Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0. With the group already locked up, they rested some players against Turkiye, leading to a 3-2 loss.
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bosnia & Herzegovina played to a 1-1 draw against Canada to open its tournament. They then lost 4-1 to Switzerland, but wrapped up their group stage by beating Qatar 3-1 to secure a spot in the Round of 32.
United States vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Best Prop Bet
- Folarin Balogun Anytime Goal (+120)
In today's edition of my Best World Cup Goal Scorer Bets Today, I made the case for betting on Folarin Balogun to score:
Folarin Balogun leads all of the United States in expected goals through the group stage portion of the World Cup at 1.78. His seven shots also lead all United States players. The USMNT has a favorable matchup ahead of them in Bosnia & Herzegovina, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them score multiple goals, with Balogun getting at least one.
United States vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction and Pick
In the July 1 edition of Best World Cup Bets Today, I broke down why I'm betting on the United States to win by 2+ goals:
Bosnia & Herzegovina played in one of the weakest groups in the tournament, and while four points were enough for them to advance, a -0.45 expected goal differential per 90 minutes after games against Switzerland, Canada, and Qatar. Now, they have to face arguably the best team they've had to play against yet. The United States is going to come out firing, and currently have an expected goal differential of +0.86 per 90 minutes. I'm willing to bet on the United States proving they're a step above Bosnia & Herzegovina on Wednesday.
Pick: USA -1.5 (+104) via FanDuel
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Published 2 hours ago | Modified 2 hours ago
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IAIN MACMILLANOriginally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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Richard E. Grant treats daughter Olivia to day out at Wimbledon
Richard E. Grant treated his daughter Olivia to her first post-baby out at Wimbledon on Wednesday after she welcomed her first child last month.
The actor, 69, shared the happy news that he'd become a new grandfather on June 5, five years after the death of his beloved wife Joan.
Richard cut a dapper figure in tennis whites as he arrived for a day of tennis action on the third day of the Wimbledon Championships.
The star was arm-in-arm with Olivia, who opted for a chic white jacket and pale blue flared trousers.
Also in attendance was Frankie Bridge, who cut a stylish figure in a green crop top and a white pleated skirt.
Wimbledon's third day will see Jannik Sinner, Aryna Sabalenka and Novak Djokovic all in action on Centre Court, while Nick Kyrgios also returns in the doubles.
Richard E. Grant treated his daughter Olivia to her first post-baby daughter out at Wimbledon on Wednesday after she welcomed her first child last month
Richard cut a dapper figure in tennis whites as he arrived for a day of tennis action on the third day of the Wimbledon Championships
It comes after Serena Williams' grand comeback ended with a first round exit on Tuesday, as she lost in two out of three sets to Maya Joint.
Last month Richard shared an emotional video on Instagram as he waited for his daughter Olivia to give birth nearby.
By the time he had returned home, the baby - a little boy - had been born.
'So extraordinary to become a grandfather. I'm so grateful for the safe arrival of our grandson. Life truly is miraculous,' he said in the clip.
Richard did not disclose the name of the newborn, whose father is Olivia's husband, financier Florian Wirst.
It comes five years after the Oscar-nominated actor lost his wife of 38 years, dialect coach Joan Washington, to lung cancer.
She died aged 74, just nine months after being diagnosed with stage four lung cancer two days before Christmas.
In his heart-rending video, Richard also shared sweet throwback photos of when his daughter Olivia was a baby.
'Reflecting on the passage of time from our daughter's birth to her becoming a mother herself!! Is there a feeling any more tender than this?' he wrote.
The post was flooded with congratulations. Actor Sanjeev Bhaskar, who starred with Richard in TV's The Kumars at No. 42 and Mumbai Calling, commented: 'Wowsers. Huge congrats granddad. And to Olivia and Florian. And a huge welcome to the new addition!'
One eagle-eyed fan added: 'Love how you say "our" not "my"... she's still his Grandma from up in the sky.' Another wrote: 'I'm so happy for you. But I know these happy days can be really bittersweet. You long to share it with them.'
Wimbledon's third day will see Jannik Sinner , Aryna Sabalenka and Novak Djokovic all in action on Centre Court, while Nick Kyrgios also returns in the doubles
Richard enjoyed a brief reunion with fellow acting thespian Charles Dance
The Game Of Thrones star cut a dapper figure in a sharp navy blue suit
Richard was seated among the stars in the famous Royal Box
Meanwhile, Charles was accompanied by literary agent Angharad Wood
The veteran star was among the big names in attendance for Wimbledon's third day
After his previous appearance at the tennis earlier this week, Romeo Beckham returned solo to watch the action on Centre Court
The model was joined by one his pals to watch another day of action
Jack Whitehall and his wife Roxy Horner were every inch the loved-up newlyweds as they arrived for a date day at the tennis together
The couple were hand-in-hand as they arrived at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club together
Also in attendance was Frankie Bridge, who cut a stylish figure in a green crop top and a white pleated skirt
While inside the Vodaphone suite, Frankie mingled with pal Vicky Pattison
Vicky flaunted her new curled bob as she arrived at the tennis in a stylish nude corset and a matching pleated skirt
The former Strictly Come Dancing star was joined by her husband Ercan Ramadan as they enjoyed a day out together
Rory McIlroy displayed the spoils of his Masters victory back in April, sporting his iconic green jacket to attend the tennis with his wife Erica Stoll
Rory received a huge welcome from the crowd on Centre Court as he took his seat inside the Royal Box following his Masters triumph earlier this year
The golfing superstar packed on the PDA with his wife Erica
Erica beamed as she and Romeo were among the stars in the Royal Box
The couple shared a sweet kiss as they enjoyed a date day at the tennis together
Angela Scanlon showed off her quirky sense of style in a turquoise mini dress and a Burberry blazer as she arrived at Wimbledon
The presenter reunited with her podcast co-host Vicky once they arrived at the tennis
Ruth Langsford enjoyed a day out at with estranged husband Eamonn Holmes' son Niall after he sided with his stepmother in the showbiz couple's ugly divorce battle
The TV presenter posed with Dragons' Den star Sara Davies as they rocked matching green ensembles while catching up inside the Emirates Suite
Ruth also posed for snaps with comedian Joanne McNally, who arrived in a quirky pale pink frillled mini dress
Richard and Joan met in 1982 at the Actors Centre in Covent Garden, where she was teaching. She was 10 years his senior and at the top of her profession, while he was a struggling young actor newly arrived from Swaziland, now Eswatini.
The couple married in 1986 and went on to have their daughter, Olivia.
Their journey to parenthood was not an easy one. The couple endured the heartbreak of losing their first child together, who died shortly after birth, and Joan suffered multiple miscarriages.
But she was determined they would keep trying - and Olivia's arrival was the gift that completed their family.
When Joan died in 2021, Richard announced her death with a moving video of the pair dancing together, writing at the time of his love for the 'Giver of Life to our daughter Olivia'.
In the years since, the actor has been remarkably candid about his grief. He has spoken of crying every single day, of writing to Joan every night, and of carrying on what he calls an 'ongoing silent conversation' with the woman he describes as the love of his life.
Earlier this year, Richard revealed the bittersweet detail that, a month before she died, Joan had gone through every single woman they knew - 'like a lioness' - listing reasons he shouldn't date any of them. 'And I knew how much she loved me by doing that,' he said.
He has remained open about the prospect of love again, telling Gyles Brandreth's Rosebud podcast in March that while pals have set him up on dates, he has 'no inclination whatsoever' and is 'not consciously looking'.
Asked if he would feel guilty, he said simply: 'No.'
Olivia tied the knot with financier Florian in an intimate civil ceremony, with the couple celebrating the nuptials over a seafood dinner at Mayfair restaurant Scott's before spending the night at The Ritz.
Sara Davies cut a stylish figure in an olive green halterneck jumpsuit
Jack Whitehall's parents, Hilary and Michael Whitehall, enjoyed a date day as they mingled with the great and good of showbiz and sport on day three of The Championships
England star Hannah Hampton arrived in a stylish mint green frilled dress
The family then marked the occasion with a lavish party later in the year at Richard's sprawling home in London.
The bride wore an elegant white wedding gown from British designer Suzanne Neville, while Austrian financier Herbst opted for a smart black tuxedo and bow tie from Hugo Boss.
Richard has previously claimed his daughter was treated 'appallingly' by 'well-known household names' when she worked as a production runner for two years.
The renowned actor was overcome with fury as he recalled how poorly treated his daughter Olivia - who is now a casting director - was on set.
When asked what was the most 'underappreciated' role in the film industry was, Richard was quick to say it was in fact runners.
A production runner works behind-the-scenes to assist the producer, director and carry out multiple different jobs as and when they are told to.
He told Sky News: 'The runners who paid the least amount of money. They're the youngest, they get there at five in the morning and they're the last to leave.
'And if anything goes wrong, they get s*** on from a dizzy height.
'I know, because my daughter was a runner for two years and was appallingly treated by some very well-known household names who changed their tune when they found out who who her father was.
'Which made it worse. It made me damn those people even more.'
