World Cup Best Bets Today (Predictions for Brazil-Japan, Germany-Paraguay, and Netherlands-Morocco)

World Cup Best Bets Today (Predictions for Brazil-Japan, Germany-Paraguay, and Netherlands-Morocco)
Iain MacMillan|
Canada scored in extra time on Sunday to be the first team to punch its ticket to the Round of 16 at the 2026 World Cup.
Three more teams will advance to the next round today, which means we have some great action to sink our teeth into. In this article, I'm going to break down my best bet for each match. Let's dive into it.
Best World Cup Bets Today
- Japan To Qualify vs. Brazil (+250)
- Germany -1.5 (+100) vs. Paraguay
- Netherlands vs. Morocco OVER 2.5 (+116)
Brazil vs. Japan Best Bet
I'm going to take a chance on an upset in this spot and bet on Japan to advance to the next round at +250 odds.
I haven't been as impressed by Brazil as I expected. In fact, they're just 20th amongst all teams in the tournament in expected goal differential per 60 minutes at +0.31, despite playing two far inferior teams in Haiti and Scotland.
Japan hasn't been far better, sporting an expected goal differential of +0.03 per 60 minutes, but Japan's disciplined style of soccer could give Brazil some surprising issues in this match. Should Brazil be favored to advance? Absolutely. Should they be -320 favorites? I don't think so. Give me Japan.
Pick: Japan to Qualify (+250)
Germany vs. Paraguay Best Bet
I was high on Paraguay coming into this tournament, but this team has disappointed me. At the end of the group stage, Paraguay has an expected goal differential of -1.51 per 90 minutes, which is the worst mark amongst all teams that qualified. Now, they have to face a German team that ranks seventh in expected goal differential at +1.19.
This has the making of a Round of 32 blowout.
Pick: Germany -1.5 (+100)
Netherlands vs. Morocco Best Bet
The Netherlands and Morocco rank inside the top 14 in expected goals for per 90 minutes of play. The Netherlands has an expected goals for per 90 minutes of 1.78. And Morocco is right behind them at 1.75.
The Netherlands has also had some questionable defensive performances, sporting an expected goals against of 1.38 per 90 minutes played.
If those numbers hold up, this could be a high-scoring affair.
Pick: OVER 2.5 (+116)
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Published 4 hours ago | Modified 4 hours ago
IAIN MACMILLANOriginally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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Badenoch blasts 'moaning' female Labour MPs over Burnham jobs 'quota'

Kemi Badenoch has told Labour women to earn a job in Andy Burnham's Cabinet instead of demanding they are handed jobs because of their gender.
The Tory leader lashed out today amid reports that female MPs are demanding the de-facto new prime minister introduce a 50:50 gender split 'quota' in his government.
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister also complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts.
But in a scathing article in the Times today Mrs Badenoch told them to 'stop moaning' and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'.
'There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't have any Milibands in the cabinet,' she said.
'But complaining that the boys haven't given them the right jobs or that the boys are taking all the jobs, just shows that Labour's women still don't get it.'
The idea of quotas was also attacked by Baroness Jacqui Smith, Labour's Skills Minister.
Asked by Times Radio if Mr Burnham should reserve jobs for women, she said: 'No, I think what Andy Burnham should be doing is building the very best team around him to change this country.'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband (above, right, in 2010) is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts
But Mrs Badenoch told them to pipe down and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party and seen by the BBC has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs after he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer.
'We are asking you to demonstrate this change from day one and address the toxicity and misogyny within our own party and government,' it said.
Labour has never had a female leader, while the Conservatives have had three, and Mrs Badenoch urged the government to follow its meritocratic example.
'If you run a meritocracy, then you do not have to worry about jobs for the boys,' she wrote.
'Every woman who is a Conservative MP, every woman who has ever won the leadership, has had to fight to get where she is.
'By contrast, Labour women are demanding guarantees from Burnham. But the truth is he doesn't have to give any guarantees.
'If none of Labour's women are prepared to get their hands dirty and challenge him for the leadership, their demands are toothless.'
'In fact, it's quite revealing that the women's parliamentary Labour Party has written to Burnham asking him to commit himself to at least 50 per cent female ministers.
'This has nothing to do with meritocracy. It is yet more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country.'