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Jun 24, 2026

Updated MLB starting pitcher rankings: Zack Wheeler amazes; Jacob Misiorowski soars

Logan Gilbert, Zack Wheeler and Chase Burns

Logan Gilbert, Zack Wheeler and Chase Burns are among the top ranked starting pitchers. Illustration: Demetrius Robinson / The Athletic; Photos: Sam Greene / The Enquirer / USA Today Network via Imagn Images, Steven Bisig / Imagn Images, Emilee Chinn / Getty Images

Analysis

Updated MLB starting pitcher rankings: Zack Wheeler amazes; Jacob Misiorowski soars

By Eno SarrisJune 19, 2026 Updated

It’s always worth a check-in. The motto here is that ERA is not predictive, but the toughest ranks last month were the ones where the ERA was sparkling and even some predictive peripherals pointed towards more success. But, in the end, due to projections and other considerations, I probably didn’t rank them as high as some wanted, at least judging by my email inbox.

So, let’s look at the players who had the biggest discrepancies between their existing ERA and their projected numbers. We’ll list their ERA from the last rankings, their projected ERA in those rankings (thanks to OOPSY at FanGraphs), and then their ERA over the last 30 days. Let’s limit this to projected ERAs over four, because Shohei Ohtani had an ERA that started with a zero, was projected to have an ERA that started with a two, was ranked very high, and that doesn’t seem in the spirit of this exercise.

Did we get them mostly right here?

Revisiting tough ranks
NameMay ERAppERADifflast 30 ERA
Bryce Elder1.814.472.665.88
Davis Martin1.624.262.647.01
Eduardo Rodríguez2.254.832.582.57
Spencer Arrighetti1.884.302.424.00
Michael McGreevy2.184.602.414.67
Nick Martinez1.704.112.414.60
Foster Griffin2.124.362.243.00
Justin Wrobleski2.424.552.143.14
Michael Wacha2.634.692.064.91
Shota Imanaga2.324.151.847.52

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