UFC Fight Night Baku predictions: Best bets, picks, analysis for prelims, main card
UFC Fight Night Baku predictions: Best bets, picks, for main card, prelims
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UFC Fight Night Baku predictions: Best bets, picks, analysis for prelims, main card
By Erich Richter Published June 27, 2026, 5:00 a.m. ET
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Add The New York Post on Google Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commission if you sign up through our links. Read our editorial standards for more information.The UFC returns to the Middle East on Saturday for Fight Night in Baku, Azerbaijan.
It’s a very early start time with the prelim card beginning at 9 a.m. ET and the main card starting at noon.
Finishes have been on an absolute tear since the White House card, with 14 of the last 18 UFC fights ending by finish over the last two cards.
An obscene streak is reflected in the odds, as this card features 12 fights, 10 of which are projected to end inside the distance.
It might be time to buy the dip at UFC Fight Night Baku.
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UFC Fight Night Baku predictions
Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres
It’s always good when the best fight on the card is the main event.
In the lightweight division, Torres faces off against Fiziev in a true pick ’em fight as there is no favorite at the time of this writing.
Fiziev is the more proven fighter, while Torres comes in as the rising prospect who has won six of his seven fights in the first round.
Fiziev is a tough cookie, as he’s one of the only fighters to go six full rounds with now-lightweight-champion Justin Gaethje and nearly win the fight.
He has lost four of his last five fights against the peak competition that the UFC has to offer, two of which to the current champion.

There’s plenty of concern that Fiziev has accumulated too much damage to win against a madman like Torres, who has won so many fights in the first round.
But Fiziev survived against Gaethje and went the distance twice. I think Fiziev is the clear side here, and I’m not sure that Torres is as dominant as he appears, considering his level of competition.
Prediction: Fiziev moneyline (-110, Fanatics Sportsbook).
Shara Magomedov vs. Michel Pereira
I’ve always been a fan of Pereira, but it appears his best days are behind him at just 32 years of age.
“Bullet” Magomedov is a slam dunk every time he goes out there to mix in high volume with strong striking and maybe shoddy defense.
I don’t think Pereira is the guy to expose Magomedov’s defensive holes on the feet, and he doesn’t have anywhere near the gas tank to proactively grapple.
Pereira’s cardio is among the worst in the promotion, and Magomedov should be able to win here easily.
He’s expected to win by knockout, but I don’t think that’s a fair number considering he couldn’t even knock out Bruno Silva when they fought.
Regardless of how you shake it, Magomedov is the guy to anchor your parlays.
Prediction: Magomedov wins in Over 1.5 rounds (-120, DraftKings).
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UFC Fight Night Baku full fight card picks
Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo: Camilo by decision (+650, DraftKings).
Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson: Almabayev by decision (+110, BetRivers).
Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira: Fight goes the distance (+300, DraftKings).
Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk: Oleksiejczuk by decision (+480, BetRivers).
Farman Hasanov vs. Eric Nolan: Nolan by KO/TKO (+325, BetRivers).
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs. Julius Walker: Yakhyaev by submission (+155, Fanatics).
Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev: Ruziboev by decision (+320, Fanatics).
Kaan Ofli vs. Javier Reyes: Reyes by KO/TKO (+240, FanDuel).
Daniil Donchenko vs. Theodor Berggren: Donchenko to win in round two (+350, FanDuel).
Bekzat Almakhan vs. Jean Matsumoto: Fight goes the distance (-167, BetRivers).
Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento: Nascimento moneyline (-105, FanDuel).
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
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Badenoch blasts 'moaning' female Labour MPs over Burnham jobs 'quota'

Kemi Badenoch has told Labour women to earn a job in Andy Burnham's Cabinet instead of demanding they are handed jobs because of their gender.
The Tory leader lashed out today amid reports that female MPs are demanding the de-facto new prime minister introduce a 50:50 gender split 'quota' in his government.
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister also complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts.
But in a scathing article in the Times today Mrs Badenoch told them to 'stop moaning' and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'.
'There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't have any Milibands in the cabinet,' she said.
'But complaining that the boys haven't given them the right jobs or that the boys are taking all the jobs, just shows that Labour's women still don't get it.'
The idea of quotas was also attacked by Baroness Jacqui Smith, Labour's Skills Minister.
Asked by Times Radio if Mr Burnham should reserve jobs for women, she said: 'No, I think what Andy Burnham should be doing is building the very best team around him to change this country.'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband (above, right, in 2010) is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts
But Mrs Badenoch told them to pipe down and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party and seen by the BBC has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs after he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer.
'We are asking you to demonstrate this change from day one and address the toxicity and misogyny within our own party and government,' it said.
Labour has never had a female leader, while the Conservatives have had three, and Mrs Badenoch urged the government to follow its meritocratic example.
'If you run a meritocracy, then you do not have to worry about jobs for the boys,' she wrote.
'Every woman who is a Conservative MP, every woman who has ever won the leadership, has had to fight to get where she is.
'By contrast, Labour women are demanding guarantees from Burnham. But the truth is he doesn't have to give any guarantees.
'If none of Labour's women are prepared to get their hands dirty and challenge him for the leadership, their demands are toothless.'
'In fact, it's quite revealing that the women's parliamentary Labour Party has written to Burnham asking him to commit himself to at least 50 per cent female ministers.
'This has nothing to do with meritocracy. It is yet more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country.'
