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Jun 30, 2026

Six Games That Will Decide Whether the Broncos Make the Playoffs

Six Games That Will Decide Whether the Broncos Make the Playoffs

Circle these games as the pivotal matchups on the Denver Broncos' 2026 schedule. Erick Trickel|
DENVER, CO - JANUARY 04: Denver Head Coach, Sean Payton on the sidelines during a game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO on January 04, 2026.
DENVER, CO - JANUARY 04: Denver Head Coach, Sean Payton on the sidelines during a game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO on January 04, 2026. | Kevin Langley / IMAGO / Icon Sportswire.

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Denver Broncos

The Denver Broncos have their eyes set not only on repeating as AFC West champs, but also on returning to the AFC championship game, and advancing to win the Super Bowl.

To get there, the Broncos have to make the playoffs first, and some games on the 2026 schedule stand out as far more important to their playoff chances than others.

These six games are the ones to watch. Winning them will considerably boost the Broncos' chances of making the playoffs. 

Week 2: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Bo Nix
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) passes in the second quarter during a game between the Jacksonville Jaguars. | Dustin Bradford / IMAGO / Icon Sportswire

This game will be a must-watch. The Broncos dropped a game to the Jaguars at home late last season, putting their top spot in the AFC in jeopardy. The Broncos were able to overcome and hold onto the top seed, but they will likely see this as a revenge game. 

Early-season losses are easier to overcome, but the Jaguars are favored to win the AFC South and could be in the running for the top seed in the AFC in 2026. If the Broncos drop this game, that would give the Jaguars a tiebreaker over them, which could keep Denver out of the playoffs if another team takes the AFC South and the AFC West. 

Jaguars head coach Liam Coen's saucy words for Payton and the Broncos after Week 16 will echo into this early-season rematch.

Week  5: at Los Angeles Chargers

Nik Bonitto and Justin Herbert
DENVER, CO: Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (10) is sacked by Broncos linebacker Nik Bonitto (15). | Kevin Langley / IMAGO / Icon Sportswire

Since Sean Payton took over as head coach, the Broncos are 3-3 against the Chargers. Since Jim Harbaugh became head coach in 2024, the Broncos are only 1-3 against the Chargers.

That lone win came in the 2025 season finale, when the Broncos had to play their starters to win the top seed in the AFC, while the Chargers rested the majority of theirs. 

If the Broncos can go on the road against a divisional opponent in the toughest stretch of their schedule and beat the Chargers, they'd put themselves in a good position early to offset potential losses in the middle or later parts of the season.

It would also send a message to the Chargers and the rest of the NFL, as many still look down on the Broncos for their struggles to get by the Chargers with Justin Herbert in the lineup.

Week 8: vs. Kansas City Chiefs

Bo Nix and Patrick Mahomes
Denver Broncos quarterback Bo Nix (10) talks with Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15). | Denny Medley-Imagn Images

While it is still early, Week 8 is when you start to get some sight on the playoff picture, and if the Broncos can handle the Chiefs at this point in the season, which would be their second game, they should firmly find themselves ahead of Kansas City.

Of course, a lot will also depend on how Week 1 goes against the Chiefs at Arrowhead, but no matter the outcome, that game will make the second game even more important for the Broncos' playoff picture.

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