katero
Jul 01, 2026

Red Sox, Mets front offices have a lot to prove, and that should start with trading two coveted arms

The trade deadline always has its headliners. 

Tarik Skubal will be the coveted name leading into the Aug. 3. The Tigers (37-49) are expected to be sellers, barring a significant shift in the standings. Still, even if they do make a run, Detroit should strongly consider moving the two-time Cy Young Award winner, who is expected to be one of the most sought-after players on the market and is set to become a free agent at season's end.

But after Skubal, there's a second tier of starters who could prove easier to acquire while still moving the needle for a World Series contender. Sonny Gray of the Red Sox and Freddy Peralta of the Mets fit that bill.

player headshot
team logo
Sonny Gray BOS • SP • #54 ERA2.69WHIP1.11IP83.2BB21K75 View Profile

Gray was sensational in his last start against the Yankees on Sunday, taking a no-hitter into the eighth inning before Amed Rosario broke up the bid with one out in the frame. His 7 ⅓ scoreless innings, coupled with nine strikeouts, lowered his ERA to 2.69 through 15 starts this season. 

He could certainly help a Braves club that has been riddled by injuries to its starting staff. The same goes for the Padres, who have dealt with their share of blows as well. The Cubs, too.

But will the Red Sox actually part ways with Gray? Well, there are a few factors at play.

For starters, the Red Sox (37-47) believe it is still too early to determine whether they will be true sellers at the deadline, though buying doesn't exactly feel like it's on their bingo card.

According to an industry source, the front office's internal models suggest Boston still has the club at a 50/50 chance of making the postseason despite being 10 games under .500. Boston is only 5 ½ games out of a playoff spot in the watered-down American League. But SportsLine's projection system gives the Red Sox only a 14.2% chance of making the postseason.

As things currently stand, five teams stand between Boston and the third wild-card spot, including division rivals Toronto and Baltimore.

Gray, who will turn 37 in November, also has a somewhat complicated contract situation. The righthander has a $30 million club option for 2027 that carries a $10 million buyout, adding another wrinkle to any potential deal. If the Red Sox do trade Gray, which at this point appears likely, the prudent move would be to absorb that cost. Additionally, Gray has a no-trade clause in his contract, though he has said he would be willing to discuss waiving it with the front office.

Gray has also publicly acknowledged that the Red Sox "aren't a good team right now," further fueling the notion that his days in Boston could be coming to a close only a few months after they started.

The return for Gray is unlikely to be massive. One industry source said the Red Sox should aim for a package centered around a top prospect and a big-league player. In-season deals, particularly those consummated close to the trade deadline, typically don't net the kind of blockbuster hauls seen during the offseason.

player headshot
team logo
Freddy Peralta NYM • SP • #51 ERA4.53WHIP1.37IP91.1BB35K88 View Profile

The Mets, meanwhile, have a clearer path to selling at the deadline after they continue to find ways to bottom out, sporting a 36-50 record in what is a less-forgiving National League. 

The club has dealt with injuries throughout the season, including to members of its pitching staff and its two brightest stars, Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto. Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns recently fired manager Carlos Mendoza after publicly backing him earlier in the season, when New York stumbled out of the gate. 

Other posts