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Jun 30, 2026

LeBron James' stint with Lakers is Hall of Fame worthy

Story byYahoo SportsYahoo SportsVideo Player CoverTom HaberstrohContributing writerTue, June 30, 2026 at 4:19 PM UTC·6 min read

This appears to be it for LeBron James as a Laker. On Tuesday, ESPN's Shams Charania reported that James informed the Lakers he will look to play elsewhere in 2026-27.

And he can walk away with pride.

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After signing in 2018, he played eight wildly successful seasons and became the NBA's all-time leading scorer, passing Kareem Abdul-Jabbar in 2023. The 41-year-old won an NBA championship in six playoff runs and reached the conference finals twice, all without missing a single playoff game. Individually, he took home a number of accolades, including eight All-Star nods, seven All-NBA appearances and even a 2019-20 assist title by averaging a career-high 10.2 per game.

Even in his age-41 season, James rated as one of the best players in the league, averaging a team-high 23.2 points, 7.3 assists and 6.7 rebounds this postseason for the short-handed Lakers. With Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves struggling to stay healthy, the need for James' versatility, leadership and production remained high.

Here's the crazy thing that really puts LeBron's Lakers tenure in perspective:

If you isolate James' stint with the Lakers and look at just his age-34 to age-41 seasons, he would almost certainly be a Hall of Famer based on those eight seasons alone.

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And we can prove it.

Los Angeles Lakers' LeBron James stands on the court in the second half of Game 2 in a second-round NBA basketball playoffs series against the Oklahoma City Thunder Thursday, May 7, 2026, in Oklahoma City. (AP Photo/Nate Billings)
LeBron's career in purple and gold has been more impressive than you might realize. (AP Photo/Nate Billings) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

The Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame Probability

Think about the hardware James earned as a Laker. In those eight seasons in purple and gold, he earned more All-NBA appearances than Jason Kidd, Carmelo Anthony and Clyde Drexler each had in the entire Hall of Fame careers. He won more playoff games than Hall of Famers Mitch Richmond, Bernard King and Yao Ming if you look at just James' Lakers tenure.

This isn't just an exercise in cherry-picking stats. We can look at the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame voting history for something more comprehensive. The proprietors of the indispensable Basketball Reference studied the numbers and found that when it comes to Hall-worthy playing careers, there are a series of key statistics and accolades that are statistically significant. That is, they are predictive barometers of Springfield immortality based on those who are in the Hall and those who are not.

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When it comes to NBA careers, Basketball Reference determined there are five significant factors (in no order):

  • All-Star Game selections

  • NBA top-10 leaderboard appearances in the following categories: Points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, minutes played

  • NBA championships

  • NBA peak win shares

  • Height (believe it or not, research shows, the shorter you are, the better chances you have)

Win shares, by the way, is an advanced metric that estimates the number of wins a player contributes to his team based on their box-score statistics. The other stuff is pretty self-explanatory. In the end, it answers the question: If this player retired today, what is the probability he would be elected to the Hall of Fame?

Another thing to keep in mind, this only considers whether a player is Hall of Fame worthy based purely on a player's NBA résumé. European stalwarts like Dino Radja and Šarūnas Marčiulionis would not have been deemed Hall-caliber based on their abbreviated NBA careers. But LeBron in L.A.? We can pull that up.

Leaderboard appearances? With the Lakers, he was top 10 in points in 2019-20 (8th), and assists in 2019-20 (1st), 2023-24 (6th) and 2024-25 (7th). Title? Check. All-Star appearances? He's had eight of them. The highest win shares total of his Lakers tenure came in the championship season in which he registered an impressive 9.8 figure.

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When we type in James' résumé and apply the model, we can calculate the Hall of Fame probability based on his production in those eight seasons. So, what was his Hall of Fame probability as a Laker, according to Basketball Reference's handy HOF probability calculator? Would he be a HOF in purple and gold only?

Without further ado …

Yup, Hall of Famer. It's 86.5%.

A near lock.

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