Jaxson Dart Was Luckier Than You Think — and That Could Cut Both Ways in 2026

Jaxson Dart Was Luckier Than You Think — and That Could Cut Both Ways in 2026
PFF data shows Dart avoided more interceptions than expected as a rookie. If he regresses to the mean, a better supporting cast will need to pick up the slack.Alex House|
In this story:
New York GiantsBecause he had a depleted and drop-prone pass-catching group during his rookie season, the prevailing opinion is that Jaxson Dart was snake-bitten.
Well, it turns out that the New York Giants quarterback was actually a bit luckier than most probably thought.
Pro Football Focus did a deep dive on turnover-worthy plays to determine who the luckiest and unluckiest quarterbacks in the league over the last decade were. The Giants boast two of the more fortunate campaigns, according to some eye-opening data.
New York has been one of the least successful franchises in the NFL during this time, so fans can understand how strange it is to write such a sentence.
Nevertheless, PFF's Mark Chichester found that the Giants' current quarterback and their most legendary one dodged plenty of bullets during the 2025-26 and 2018-19 campaigns, respectively.
It could have been worse for the Giants
Dart, who posted five interceptions in 12 starts last season, threw only three picks on 11 turnover-worthy plays, which amounts to 27.3 percent, per PFF. He tossed two interceptions on non-turnover-worthy plays.
His Net-Luck, which calculates turnover-worthy INTs avoided versus league average conversion over non-turnover worthy INTs incurred versus league average, came to +3.0. That ranked fifth-luckiest in the league. MVP Matthew Stafford easily secured the top spot at +6.8.

Dart certainly endured more than his share of adversity, with questionable coaching and a scarcity of reliable receivers forcing him to rely on his ground game more than fans might have preferred, but he caught some breaks in the interceptions department.
And he is not the only one. Two-time Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning lays claim to the ninth-luckiest season in the last 10 years. He recorded 25 turnover-worthy plays in the 2018-19 campaign, according to Chichester. He had 11 interceptions on TWPS and threw eight more passes that resulted in dropped INTs. His Net-Luck was +5.6
Manning's last full season as a starting quarterback ended with a 5-11 record, so he probably won't gain much comfort in knowing that he was luckier than most QBs. Similarly, Jaxson Dart is not going to celebrate cracking the top five in his first year in the NFL.
Actually, there is reason to believe that the 23-year-old's circumstances will change in 2026. In cases of high or low luck, PFF concluded that the player usually regressed to the mean in the following season.
If that trend holds true for Dart, then there might be a few should-be catches that turn into picks in his second campaign. However, there are obviously several new developments that could work in his favor.
With John Harbaugh signing on to become the new head coach, and Isaiah Likely, Darnell Mooney, Malachi Fields, Calvin Austin III, Odell Beckham Jr. and JuJu Smith-Schuster joining the offense, and electric wide receiver Malik Nabers returning to action at some point, Dart will ideally be able to limit his turnover-worthy plays.
Sign up for our free newsletter and follow us on Facebook and X for the latest news, and send your mailbag questions to us.
Published Jun 18, 2026
ALEX HOUSEAlex House is a passionate sports writer committed to providing readers with insightful and engaging coverage. His experiences in New England as a Connecticut resident and University of Rhode Island journalism student have helped shape him into who he is today. He also writes for ClutchPoints.com.
Follow alexhouse_20Home/Big Blue+
Badenoch blasts 'moaning' female Labour MPs over Burnham jobs 'quota'

Kemi Badenoch has told Labour women to earn a job in Andy Burnham's Cabinet instead of demanding they are handed jobs because of their gender.
The Tory leader lashed out today amid reports that female MPs are demanding the de-facto new prime minister introduce a 50:50 gender split 'quota' in his government.
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister also complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts.
But in a scathing article in the Times today Mrs Badenoch told them to 'stop moaning' and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'.
'There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't have any Milibands in the cabinet,' she said.
'But complaining that the boys haven't given them the right jobs or that the boys are taking all the jobs, just shows that Labour's women still don't get it.'
The idea of quotas was also attacked by Baroness Jacqui Smith, Labour's Skills Minister.
Asked by Times Radio if Mr Burnham should reserve jobs for women, she said: 'No, I think what Andy Burnham should be doing is building the very best team around him to change this country.'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband (above, right, in 2010) is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts
But Mrs Badenoch told them to pipe down and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party and seen by the BBC has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs after he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer.
'We are asking you to demonstrate this change from day one and address the toxicity and misogyny within our own party and government,' it said.
Labour has never had a female leader, while the Conservatives have had three, and Mrs Badenoch urged the government to follow its meritocratic example.
'If you run a meritocracy, then you do not have to worry about jobs for the boys,' she wrote.
'Every woman who is a Conservative MP, every woman who has ever won the leadership, has had to fight to get where she is.
'By contrast, Labour women are demanding guarantees from Burnham. But the truth is he doesn't have to give any guarantees.
'If none of Labour's women are prepared to get their hands dirty and challenge him for the leadership, their demands are toothless.'
'In fact, it's quite revealing that the women's parliamentary Labour Party has written to Burnham asking him to commit himself to at least 50 per cent female ministers.
'This has nothing to do with meritocracy. It is yet more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country.'
Venezuela Fury and Noah Price subsidising their life by livestreaming

Venezuela Fury and her husband Noah Price look to be making their own way in the world by raking it in from their lucrative social media accounts.
The influencer daughter of Tyson and Paris Fury, 16, has become an internet sensation after tying the knot with her husband Noah, 19, earlier this year.
Since getting married and moving in together the couple have been earning thousands of pounds a month, livestreaming their life as newlyweds in their static caravan in the East Riding of Yorkshire.
And fans can't get enough of their regular life updates on TikTok and Kick, which have proved to be very profitable for the pair.
They look to be supporting themselves after Noah denied that he was given £5million by Venezuela's family as a wedding gift.
Despite his wife's huge family wealth, an estimated combined £160 million, Noah recently told his Kick followers that he 'pays for everything' for the couple.
Making light of the claims about Venezuela's millionaire financial status, Noah said: 'I actually pay for everything unfortunately. You'd expect the millionaire to pay for it wouldn't you.'
Venezuela Fury and Noah Price are earning thousands livestreaming their caravan life - after her new groom insisted he pays all the bills and denied he had £5m handout from her dad
The influencer daughter of Tyson and Paris Fury , 16, has become an internet sensation after tying the knot with her husband Noah, 19, earlier this year
Venezuela then asked their fans: 'Do you think I am a millionaire?'
Noah joked: 'She isn't a secret millionaire guys', before she broke into song and sang: 'But I live like a millionaire!'
But it seems according to estimated calculations from their social media work, Noah and Venezuela can more than afford to support themselves.
Noah has been livestreaming on platforms such as Kick and TikTok, where viewers can send paid gifts or donations.
He was previously encouraging viewers to send gifts on his honeymoon during livestreams, suggesting this is one revenue stream.
Both Noah and Venezuela have built substantial followings on Instagram and TikTok. They can potentially earn money through sponsored posts, brand collaborations, affiliate links and creator payouts.
Kick allows its creators to take home 95 per cent of the £4.99 subscription cost that fans pay.
Streamers keep 100 per cent of direct tips and donations, minus minor standard payment processing fees.
It is unclear how many subscribers Noah currently has because this information is hidden, but he does have 7,200 followers which is publicly viewable.
An industry insider has suggested Noah is making around £400 per video on TikTok, while Venezuela is likely to make £2,000 due to her following count of 1.3 million.
An industry insider has suggested Noah is making around £400 per video on TikTok, while Venezuela is likely to make £2,000 due to her following count of 1.3 million
In one video on their honeymoon, Noah asked his followers if they'd give them some more gifts now that they were married.
In a TikTok live viewed by 20,000 he said: 'Keep liking our videos people, keep sending gifts.'
After saying thank you to several of his followers he joked they should stick around on the livestream and 'watch Venezuela punch me in the mouth'.
The other half of the honeymooning couple said: 'I am, honestly!'
Noah previously confirmed that the pair don't share their finances after they were asked whether they have a shared bank account.
'She earns her money, I earn mine,' said Noah, as Venezuela joked: 'Yeah, what you gonna do about it.'
Noah went on to debunk the rumour that Tyson gave him £5million when he tied the knot with his daughter as he insisted: 'No Tyson did not give me £5million'.
Meanwhile Venezuela is being eyed up by executives for a fly on the wall TV series.
Noah went on to debunk the rumour that Tyson gave him £5million when he tied the knot with his daughter as he insisted: 'No Tyson did not give me £5million'
Boasting 1.3 million TikTok followers, Venezuela is already entertaining fans with her honest musings and candid moments, from cooking to kitting out her and Noah's static caravan home.
And following the success of the Netflix series At Home With The Furys, it is no wonder bosses are wanting to draw on the Fury popularity.
A TV insider said: 'The couple are not A-list celebrities but everyone has become obsessed with their love story.
'People are genuinely intrigued by them. Whether it’s the fact they have married so young, Venezuela’s famous family or their gypsy lifestyle, they have the ‘X factor'.
'Several TV executives think a proper fly-on-the-wall series following their lives as newlyweds in the gypsy community would be fascinating,' they told The Sun.
It is thought Netflix would be likely to produce the series due to their already established relationship with the Furys.
Venezuela's representatives told The Daily Mail: 'We have many offers on the table regarding Venezuela which we are discussing.'