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Heat NBA title odds skyrocket after Giannis Antetokounmpo trade

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Heat NBA title odds skyrocket after Giannis Antetokounmpo trade

A player signs autographs for fans

Giannis Antetokounmpo makes the Miami Heat a fringe title contender. Jeff Hanisch / Imagn Images

By Scott PhillipsJune 23, 2026 Updated 11:32 am EDT

The Athletic has live coverage of the 2026 NBA Draft, including the Giannis Antetokounmpo trade.

Pat Riley did it again.

The legendary team president of the Miami Heat has a penchant for bringing marquee talents to South Beach, and Riley’s latest prize is superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo.

The NBA offseason featured its first seismic move with Antetokounmpo, a two-time former MVP, finally getting traded from the Milwaukee Bucks late Monday night. The move had ripple effects on the betting markets, as the Heat’s title odds shifted drastically overnight.

In DraftKings’ latest 2026-27 Finals winner market, Miami elevated from 11th to fifth — jumping from +4000 odds to +1800 odds.

Giannis is headed to Miami. What will be his legacy in Milwaukee?Eric Nehm and Johnny Sweet

Miami moved past a glut of secondary contenders to position itself right behind the upper echelon of teams in the San Antonio Spurs, Oklahoma City Thunder, Boston Celtics, and defending-champion New York Knicks.

In addition to the player it has been seeking for months, Miami also gets veteran forward Bobby Portis; the Heat gives up Tyler Herro, Kel’el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, three first-round picks (including No. 13 in the 2026 draft), a pick swap and a second-round pick.

Miami has long swung for the fences and won rings by trading for Shaquille O’Neal in 2004 and signing the LeBron James-led “Big Three” in 2010. It’s unclear, though, whether Antetokounmpo vaults the team back to a championship level.

The Heat did appear to gain ground, at least in the eyes of sportsbooks, after being stuck as a play-in team the past few seasons.

Featuring a potential core of Antetokounmpo, all-star big man Bam Adebayo and veteran wings Andrew Wiggins (player option) and Norman Powell (unrestricted free agent), Miami still has to figure out the rest of its roster. But the franchise has a long history of finding diamond-in-the-rough role players.

As if acquiring a 10-time all-star wasn’t thrilling enough, Miami also prevented the Celtics from making its own headline-grabbing trade.

A week and a half ago, Miami (-130) was the favorite over the Celtics (+175) to land Antetokounmpo, at DraftKings. With ESPN’s Brian Windhorst reporting Monday morning that Boston would include star Jaylen Brown in a swap for Antetokounmpo, the Celtics (-140) then became the perceived favorites to land the Greek Freak. Title odds also briefly changed Monday afternoon, with the Celtics elevating from +550 to +475.

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