Daily Dinger: Best MLB Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Bet on Ketel Marte, Jackson Chourio, Cubs Star)
Daily Dinger: Best MLB Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Bet on Ketel Marte, Jackson Chourio, Cubs Star)
Breaking down the best home run prop bet picks for the MLB action on Monday, June 29, including a pick for Arizona Diamondbacks star Ketel Marte. Peter Dewey|
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Milwaukee BrewersArizona DiamondbacksChicago CubsMonday’s Major League Baseball action features nearly every team, as there are 13 games to dive into and plenty of players to consider betting on in the prop market.
Each day throughout the MLB season, the SI Betting team shares our favorite home run player props, as it’s one of the most exciting prop markets in MLB. While predicting a home run isn’t easy, these props usually offer some pretty favorable payouts since they are long shots.
A small wager on one of these plays can make a game a little more exciting, and on Sunday I was able to hit a pick for Tampa Bay Rays star Junior Caminero against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Ironically, a Diamondbacks star is now the headliner on Monday, as second baseman Ketel Marte has a very favorable matchup in a rivalry game with the San Francisco Giants.
He’s one of three players that I’m targeting to leave the yard on June 29.
Best MLB Home Run Prop Bet Picks for Monday, June 29
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Jackson Chourio to Hit a Home Run (+389)
Milwaukee Brewers star Jackson Chourio has 11 home runs in 47 games in the 2026 season, and he’s done a ton of damage over the last four weeks, homering nine times while posting a .324 batting average.
Chourio has an interesting matchup against the Cincinnati Reds on Monday, as lefty Nick Lodolo (5.59 ERA) is set to make his 10th start of the year. Lodolo has struggled so far in 2026, allowing eight homers in nine outings while the Reds are just 2-7 straight up when he takes the mound.
That’s a good sign for the Brewers offense, and Chourio has crushed left-handed pitching so far in 2026. The star outfielder is hitting .345 with four homers and a .979 OPS against lefties, and he’s had some success against Lodolo as well.
Chourio is 3-for-9 with a double against the Reds southpaw, though he has yet to take him deep. Since Lodolo has struggled a bit with the long ball, I don’t mind taking Chourio to go deep on Monday night.
Ketel Marte to Hit a Home Run (+344)
Marte is by far my favorite home run target on Monday, and a lot of that has to do with his previous success against Giants right-hander Tyler Mahle.
In his career against Mahle, Marte is hitting .533 (8-for-15) with a 1.696 OPS. He’s picked up five extra-base hits against the Giants right-hander, including a pair of home runs. On top of that, Marte has been red hot as of late, hitting .304 with four home runs over the last two weeks.
Mahle has struggled in the 2026 season, posting a 5.49 ERA across 12 starts. He didn’t allow a run in his first June start last week, but he’s still given up 11 home runs in 2026.
This is a pretty favorable price for Marte, who has homered in three of his last four games.
Pete Crow-Armstrong to Hit a Home Run (+266)
Chicago Cubs All-Star Pete Crow-Armstrong has 17 home runs in the 2026 season, and he’s looking to add to that total against San Diego Padres right-hander Griffin Canning on Monday night.
Canning enters Monday’s start with a 7.38 ERA across 10 appearances, allowing 45 hits and eight home runs in 42.2 innings of work. The Cubs are favored at home in this matchup, and I believe Crow-Armstrong – who already has a homer against Canning in his career – is a great bet to go deep.
PCA is 1-for-3 against the Padres’ starter in his limited at-bats against him, but he’s showcased a ton of power over the last two weeks, homering five times while posting a .340 batting average and a 1.211 OPS.
Crow-Armstrong has 13 home runs against right-handed pitching, and 10 of his homers this season have come this month. Even though this isn’t the best price at +266, it’s hard to pass up this matchup with Canning having a rough 2026 season.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Published 37 minutes ago | Modified 37 minutes ago
PETER DEWEYPeter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
Follow @peterdewey2Home/Betting
Badenoch blasts 'moaning' female Labour MPs over Burnham jobs 'quota'
Kemi Badenoch has told Labour women to earn a job in Andy Burnham's Cabinet instead of demanding they are handed jobs because of their gender.
The Tory leader lashed out today amid reports that female MPs are demanding the de-facto new prime minister introduce a 50:50 gender split 'quota' in his government.
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister also complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts.
But in a scathing article in the Times today Mrs Badenoch told them to 'stop moaning' and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'.
'There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't have any Milibands in the cabinet,' she said.
'But complaining that the boys haven't given them the right jobs or that the boys are taking all the jobs, just shows that Labour's women still don't get it.'
The idea of quotas was also attacked by Baroness Jacqui Smith, Labour's Skills Minister.
Asked by Times Radio if Mr Burnham should reserve jobs for women, she said: 'No, I think what Andy Burnham should be doing is building the very best team around him to change this country.'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband (above, right, in 2010) is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts
But Mrs Badenoch told them to pipe down and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party and seen by the BBC has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs after he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer.
'We are asking you to demonstrate this change from day one and address the toxicity and misogyny within our own party and government,' it said.
Labour has never had a female leader, while the Conservatives have had three, and Mrs Badenoch urged the government to follow its meritocratic example.
'If you run a meritocracy, then you do not have to worry about jobs for the boys,' she wrote.
'Every woman who is a Conservative MP, every woman who has ever won the leadership, has had to fight to get where she is.
'By contrast, Labour women are demanding guarantees from Burnham. But the truth is he doesn't have to give any guarantees.
'If none of Labour's women are prepared to get their hands dirty and challenge him for the leadership, their demands are toothless.'
'In fact, it's quite revealing that the women's parliamentary Labour Party has written to Burnham asking him to commit himself to at least 50 per cent female ministers.
'This has nothing to do with meritocracy. It is yet more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country.'
