Cubs vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Thursday, June 25
Cubs vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Probable Pitchers, Prop Bets for Thursday, June 25
Chicago has a chance to complete a four-game sweep on June 25. Peter Dewey|
In this story:
Chicago CubsNew York MetsThe New York Mets’ season continues to go in the tank, as they’ve dropped five games in a row and are now looking to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Chicago Cubs on Thursday.
New York dropped both games in yesterday’s doubleheader, and it has allowed nine or more runs in each game in this series.
Freddy Peralta (4.83 ERA) is on the mound with a chance to stop the bleeding on Thursday night, but he and the Mets are just -112 favorites at home against the Cubbies.
Chicago has bounced back after a rough month of May, winning seven of its last 10 games, though it is still seven games out of first place in the NL Central.
Matthew Boyd (6.00 ERA) will get the ball in this game for his first start since May 3.
Let’s dive into the odds, a prop to bet and my prediction for this series finale on Thursday night.
Cubs vs. Mets Odds, Run Line and Total
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Run Line
- Cubs -1.5 (+147)
- Mets +1.5 (-179)
Moneyline
- Cubs: -108
- Mets: -112
Total
- 8.5 (Over -113/Under -106)
Cubs vs. Mets Probable Pitchers
- Chicago: Matthew Boyd (2-1, 6.00 ERA)
- New York: Freddy Peralta (5-6, 4.83 ERA)
Cubs vs. Mets How to Watch
- Date: Thursday, June 25
- Time: 7:10 p.m. EST
- Venue: Citi Field
- How to Watch (TV): SNY, Marquee Sports Network
- Cubs record: 43-37
- Mets record: 34-46
Cubs vs. Mets Best MLB Prop Bets
Cubs Best MLB Prop Bet
- Cubs Team Total OVER 4.5 Runs (+105)
I’m going to take a prop that goes right into my pick for this game, as I expect the Cubs to score five or more runs on Thursday night.
Chicago has nine or more runs in each game in this series, and it is averaging 4.94 runs per game in 2026 – the sixth-most in MLB.
Meanwhile, the Mets have a team ERA of 4.22, and Peralta has struggled in recent starts, allowing 18 runs in four outings in June. He’s given up four or more earned runs in four of his last six starts.
So, it wouldn’t shock me if Chicago jumps on the veteran right-hander, especially since the team has 28 hits and 29 runs in this series. New York’s bullpen (3.44 ERA) has been one of the better units in baseball, but I can’t pass up the plus-money price when it comes to this prop.
Cubs vs. Mets Prediction and Pick
In today’s MLB best bets column, I broke down why I love the OVER in this series finale:
The New York Mets and Chicago Cubs have combined for 15, 13 and 15 runs in the first three games of their series, so I’m going to take the OVER in Game 4 on Thursday night.
Chicago has lefty Matthew Boyd on the mound for just the sixth time this season, and he enters this start with a 6.00 ERA and an expected ERA of 4.28. Chicago’s offense is third in the league in Weighted Runs Created Plus (wRC+), and it’ll likely lean on that with a chance to sweep New York on the line.
The Mets have dropped five games in a row, though they have ace Freddy Peralta on the mound in this game. After a solid start to the season, Peralta regressed in June, allowing six, one and 10 runs in his last three starts.
He has a 4.83 ERA for the season and ranks in the 57th percentile in expected ERA.
Both of these teams have hit the OVER in the majority of their games, with the Cubs putting up nine or more runs in each game in this series to improve their OVER record to 43-36-1. I expect offense to be the story of the night once again on Thursday.
Pick: OVER 8.5 (-113 at DraftKings)
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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Published 10 minutes ago | Modified 10 minutes ago
PETER DEWEYPeter is a senior editor for Sports Illustrated Betting. He has worked as a writer and editor for BetSided, NBC Sports, the Connecticut Sun and the Meriden Record-Journal covering the NBA, WNBA, NFL, MLB, and more. A New York City resident, he is a hoops fanatic with a soft spot for his New York Knicks.
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Badenoch blasts 'moaning' female Labour MPs over Burnham jobs 'quota'
Kemi Badenoch has told Labour women to earn a job in Andy Burnham's Cabinet instead of demanding they are handed jobs because of their gender.
The Tory leader lashed out today amid reports that female MPs are demanding the de-facto new prime minister introduce a 50:50 gender split 'quota' in his government.
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister also complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts.
But in a scathing article in the Times today Mrs Badenoch told them to 'stop moaning' and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'.
'There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't have any Milibands in the cabinet,' she said.
'But complaining that the boys haven't given them the right jobs or that the boys are taking all the jobs, just shows that Labour's women still don't get it.'
The idea of quotas was also attacked by Baroness Jacqui Smith, Labour's Skills Minister.
Asked by Times Radio if Mr Burnham should reserve jobs for women, she said: 'No, I think what Andy Burnham should be doing is building the very best team around him to change this country.'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband (above, right, in 2010) is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts
But Mrs Badenoch told them to pipe down and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party and seen by the BBC has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs after he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer.
'We are asking you to demonstrate this change from day one and address the toxicity and misogyny within our own party and government,' it said.
Labour has never had a female leader, while the Conservatives have had three, and Mrs Badenoch urged the government to follow its meritocratic example.
'If you run a meritocracy, then you do not have to worry about jobs for the boys,' she wrote.
'Every woman who is a Conservative MP, every woman who has ever won the leadership, has had to fight to get where she is.
'By contrast, Labour women are demanding guarantees from Burnham. But the truth is he doesn't have to give any guarantees.
'If none of Labour's women are prepared to get their hands dirty and challenge him for the leadership, their demands are toothless.'
'In fact, it's quite revealing that the women's parliamentary Labour Party has written to Burnham asking him to commit himself to at least 50 per cent female ministers.
'This has nothing to do with meritocracy. It is yet more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country.'
