Best Bets Today for June 18: Day 165 of Betting $100 Every Day for a Year (Picks for U.S. Open and World Cup)

Best Bets Today for June 18: Day 165 of Betting $100 Every Day for a Year (Picks for U.S. Open and World Cup)
Iain MacMillan|
We had a fantastic day betting on Wednesday, going 4-1 for a profit of over $100 while cashing in on the DR Congo to win or draw at +280. That performance brings us back to the green for the year!
Let's keep the good times rolling today. For the first time in a week, we're betting on more than just the World Cup. With the U.S. Open starting today, I'm also going to dabble in a couple of Round 1 wagers.
Let's dive into them.
Betting $100 Every Day for a Year Record
- Yesterday: 4-1 (+$109.60)
- Year-to-date: 286-303-7 (+$42.70)
June 18 Picks and Best Bets
- $30: Russell Henley -125 vs. Bryson DeChambeau (FanDuel)
- $20: Shane Lowry +175 vs. Joaquin Niemann/Alex Smalley (DraftKings)
- $30: Czechia vs. South Africa UNDER 2.5 (-140) (BetMGM)
- $20: Switzerland -1.5 (+168) vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina (FanDuel)
U.S. Open Round 1 Bets
Pick: $30 on Russell Henley -125 vs. DeChambeau
I'm already betting on Bryson DeChambeau to miss the cut, but I'm going to double-dip and bet on him to lose in a matchup bet with Russell Henley as well:
Shinnecock demands artistry with irons and creativity with wedges. I don't think DeChambeau has either, and his recent history at majors proves he isn't at the top of his game. Meanwhile, Russell Henley feels like a perfect fit for Shinnecock. There are few golfers on the planet whose iron play is as good as Henley's, and he can also get up-and-down from anywhere on the golf course.
Pick: $20 on Shane Lowry +175 vs. Niemann/Smalley
Shane Lowry is my best bet to be leading after the first round, and for the same reasons, I'm going to bet on him to win his 3-ball group against Joaquin Niemann and Alex Smalley.
No golfer in the field gains more strokes with their approach play in the first round of tournaments over the past six months than Shane Lowry. For the opening round, he's paired up with Joaquin Niemann, who continues to struggle at major championships, as well as Alex Smalley, who is coming off a missed cut at The Memorial Tournament. Lowry should have much shorter odds than +175 to win this 3-ball group.
Czechia vs. South Africa Best Bet
Pick: $30 UNDER 2.5 (-140)
Both Czechia and South Africa had two of the worst offensive performances of the opening round. Cape Verde was the only team with a lower expected goals total than South Africa, at -0.46. Czechia's offense wasn't much better, ranking 33rd in expected goals in the opening match at 0.03. If both of those metrics hold up when they face each other this afternoon, we can expect a low-scoring affair.
Switzerland vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina Best Bet
Pick: $20 on Switzerland -1.5 (+168)
Switzerland couldn't get past Qatar in its opening match, but the Swiss had the fifth-highest expected goal differential at +2.05. That tells me the match against Qatar wasn't a sign of bad form, but rather Switzerland falling on the wrong side of some terrible variance.
Bosnia & Herzegovina was on the other side of the coin. They also managed to squeak out a draw against Canada, but they had an expected goal differential of -0.82.
With one team in this match playing better than the score in the first game suggests, and the other side playing worse, I think the water will find its level in this game, and Switzerland will win by at least two goals.
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Published Jun 18, 2026 | Modified Jun 18, 2026
IAIN MACMILLANOriginally from Nova Scotia, Iain MacMillan is a senior editor covering betting, with a focus on NFL, NHL, and golf. He hosts the Bacon Bets Podcast and has been featured on VSIN, BetQL and Monumental Sports Network. He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis.
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Badenoch blasts 'moaning' female Labour MPs over Burnham jobs 'quota'

Kemi Badenoch has told Labour women to earn a job in Andy Burnham's Cabinet instead of demanding they are handed jobs because of their gender.
The Tory leader lashed out today amid reports that female MPs are demanding the de-facto new prime minister introduce a 50:50 gender split 'quota' in his government.
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister also complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts.
But in a scathing article in the Times today Mrs Badenoch told them to 'stop moaning' and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'.
'There are many, many reasons why you shouldn't have any Milibands in the cabinet,' she said.
'But complaining that the boys haven't given them the right jobs or that the boys are taking all the jobs, just shows that Labour's women still don't get it.'
The idea of quotas was also attacked by Baroness Jacqui Smith, Labour's Skills Minister.
Asked by Times Radio if Mr Burnham should reserve jobs for women, she said: 'No, I think what Andy Burnham should be doing is building the very best team around him to change this country.'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs
Amid reports that former foreign secretary David Miliband (above, right, in 2010) is being lined up to return to the role, possibly with his brother Ed as Chancellor, one female minister complained that Burnham could not have 'more Milibands than women' in the top posts
But Mrs Badenoch told them to pipe down and get chosen on merit instead of retreating into 'more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country'
A letter written by the Women's Parliamentary Labour Party and seen by the BBC has called on Mr Burnham to ensure a 50:50 split between men and women in government jobs after he succeeds Sir Keir Starmer.
'We are asking you to demonstrate this change from day one and address the toxicity and misogyny within our own party and government,' it said.
Labour has never had a female leader, while the Conservatives have had three, and Mrs Badenoch urged the government to follow its meritocratic example.
'If you run a meritocracy, then you do not have to worry about jobs for the boys,' she wrote.
'Every woman who is a Conservative MP, every woman who has ever won the leadership, has had to fight to get where she is.
'By contrast, Labour women are demanding guarantees from Burnham. But the truth is he doesn't have to give any guarantees.
'If none of Labour's women are prepared to get their hands dirty and challenge him for the leadership, their demands are toothless.'
'In fact, it's quite revealing that the women's parliamentary Labour Party has written to Burnham asking him to commit himself to at least 50 per cent female ministers.
'This has nothing to do with meritocracy. It is yet more of the failed identity politics that is holding back our country.'