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Jun 30, 2026

Barely a poll bounce for Labour as Starmer makes way for Burnham

Labour has barely registered a polling bounce since Keir Starmer quit and Andy Burnham closes in on becoming his successor as Prime Minister.

The latest YouGov survey shows Labour's support up two percentage points to 20 per cent since Sir Keir announced he will stand down.

But this is within the margin of error of last week's poll and Labour still trails Reform UK by four points.

Nigel Farage's party is on 24 per cent in the latest poll – down one point from the previous survey.

The Tories are unchanged on 20 per cent in this week's poll, with the Greens (down two points) and the Liberal Democrats (down one point) both on 13 per cent.

It is the lowest figure recorded for the Greens since last October, and is down eight points from their peak in early March, which came shortly after Zack Polanski's party won the Gorton and Denton by-election.

The 40 per cent of voters who said they would back either Labour or the Tories is the highest combined vote share for Britain's traditional two main parties since last July.

Sir Keir announced he will resign as PM in a tearful speech last week, following Mr Burnham's victory in the Makerfield by-election.

Andy Burnham is set to become Prime Minister on 20 July, if he remains the only candidate to replace Keir Starmer as Labour leader

Andy Burnham is set to become Prime Minister on 20 July, if he remains the only candidate to replace Keir Starmer as Labour leader

Mr Burnham, the former Greater Manchester mayor, is now almost certain to replace Sir Keir at No10 in the absence of any other Labour leadership contenders, and could become PM on 20 July.

Yesterday, in his first major speech since Sir Keir announced he will step down, Mr Burnham vowed to set up a new No10 operation in Manchester to be the 'nerve centre of a rewired Britain'.

He also promised to oversee the 'biggest council house building program since the post-war period', and to allow regions to take 'greater public control of essential services' including water, energy and transport.

The proposals would bring about the 'biggest rebalancing of power our country has seen', Mr Burnham said, as he promised to overcome Whitehall's resistance to change.

'Let me say this very directly: the days of Whitehall fighting the devolution of power into the regions and nations are over for good,' he added.

In an attempt to reassure the markets that he would not hike borrowing and taxes to pay for his plans, Mr Burnham promised his measures would be based on 'the stability that comes from sound public finances' and 'the discipline of our current fiscal rules'.

But he acknowledged that taxpayer-funded support would be needed to deal with the cost-of-living pressures facing households.

Nigel Farage has demanded Mr Burnham call a general election if he succeeds Sir Keir in Downing Street

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